Challenges in niche management strategies for transitions in socio-technical systems
6th Conference of the European Social Simulation Association, ESSA 2009, Guildford, İngiltere, 14 - 18 Eylül 2009, (Tam Metin Bildiri)
- Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
- Basıldığı Şehir: Guildford
- Basıldığı Ülke: İngiltere
- Boğaziçi Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
The growing size and complexity of the socio-technical systems, as well as problems encountered with the way these systems function brings about an increasing need for developing a strategy and policy portfolio for managing such systems. One of the strategy proposals from this stream of studies is strategic niche management (SNM). Although the strategy proposed by SNM is intuitive and reasonable in the presence of learning-by-doing type of mechanisms, its application is nothing but straight forward. there exist multiple key points that plays important role in the success of the approach, including the size of the niche where the novelty will be nurtured, the timing for scaling-up, the extent to which the novelty will be protected against competition, and the timing for withdrawing the support provided to the novelty. Due to the enormous variety of situations (e.g. development potential of the novelty and the preexisting option, size of the system, etc.), and also due to the dynamic interactions between the aspects that influence each of those key points, it is almost impossible to provide a well-specified prescription for applying SNM. This study constitutes a preliminary step towards developing such insights. An abstract simulation model that depicts the introduction of a new option in a socio-technological system is developed, used in an extensive exploratory sense in order to analyze dynamic consequences of different implementations of the SNM strategy in terms of final level of diffusion of the novelty in the system, as well as total cost of the strategy.